Tuesday, August 07, 2018

What are the odds?

Seems like Kadizzle awakened from being drunk, but he did not drink a thing yesterday.  Must have just been heavy sleep.  Coffee is the rocket fuel to awaken this leaden body.  Even sitting seems to take effort.  To sit more comfortably Kadizzle wandered back to the office chair by the computer in the engine room.  Sitting down he notices something peculiar.  Yesterday Kadizzle printed out some information for the city commissioners.  The way the printer sits it just spews out the printed material and if falls on the floor.  As one piece of paper wafted down to the floor the edge of the paper went into a crack 1/64 of an inch on the old library card cataloger.   The paper hung there.  Now if you loaded the printer with paper and printed for a hundred years that probably would not happen again.

This was a great lesson on the theory " all things are possible, just not probable".   For better or worse the universe is governed by probability.  What is the probability you will get prostate cancer?  For a man it is almost a given. What is the probability Trump will lie today?  It is almost a certainty.  Many lives are ruined by the failure to understand probability.  How many broke dolts are still buying lottery tickets?

If you think about it  you are alive pretty much on the basis of probability.  Once you were a sperm. There were millions of sperm competing to be you.  You are the one that won.  Now you live a life of probability.  Do you live in an area of tornadoes, tsunamis, or earthquakes?  Now of course there is the other possibility,  Jesus, God, or Satan determine everything.  That changes the whole picture. Now you have to implore them to fix things for you.  It is something like buying a lottery ticket.  You ask God for a new car.  The car never shows up.  It is not God's will and God knows better than you do.  So base your life on probability, God, or what ever you want.  Some probabilities are not probabilities. You will die,  you will not jump and stay up in the air.  Republicans are not real good at probabilities and neither are the religious.  What is the probability giving the rich tax breaks will help you unless you are rich?  What is the probability giving churches money will make life better unless you build churches for a living?


No comments: